Happy Thanksgiving! Today the New Orleans Saints visit the Dallas Cowboys in a rematch of the game that handed the Saints the first loss of the 2009 season. The Saints are coming off a 34-19 home victory over the Seattle Seahawks. The Cowboys, 2-0 in the Jason Garrett era, are coming off a 35-19 win over the Detroit Lions. Here are some of the key matchups to watch in between tryptophan-induced naps on the couch.
Saints passing game vs. Cowboys passing defense
Quarterback Drew Brees and the Saints’ receivers have regained the rhythm and timing that lead to last year’s Super Bowl victory. The Saints rank third in the NFL in passing yards per game (286.8 yards per game), while the Cowboys rank 21st in the NFL in passing defense, allowing 235.1 yards per game.
The Saints running game
Over the last two games, the Saints’ running game has passed the 100 yard mark, something that been lacking this year. Chris Ivory and Julius Jones have brought a change of pace to the running game, which traditionally has relied on Pierre Thomas’ strong inside running and Reggie Bush’s perimeter speed. The Cowboys allow 117.3 yards per game, 22nd in the NFL. Look for the Saints to establish the running game early to force the Cowboys to put eight in the box, freeing up the Saints’ high-powered passing attack.
The return of Reggie Bush
The Saints have missed Bush’s game-breaking speed and big-play ability since he broke his leg against the San Francisco 49ers. Although Bush is listed as questionable, Sean Payton will make every effort to get him on the field. Look for the Saints to use Bush to establish the outside running game, and in screen or flare passes out of the backfield to exploit the matchup between him and the Cowboys’ linebackers.
The Cowboys pass rush
The Cowboys best chance for victory lies with its pass rush. Last year Demarcus Ware exploited the matchup with Saints left tackle Jermon Bushrod. Look for the Cowboys to take an aggressive approach by blitzing early to throw Drew Brees off his rhythm. However, cornerbacks Terence Newman and Michael Jenkins have to shut down Marques Colston and Lance Moore, the Saints’ top two leading receivers who both have big-play ability.
Although the Cowboys are riding high off of two big wins under Jason Garrett, the Saints offense is too powerful for the Cowboys defense, and the Cowboys’ offense is too one-dimensional to keep pace with the Saints’ attack. Although Kim Kardashian may be conflicted between former beaus Miles Austin and Reggie Bush, I am not. My prediction: 35-14 Saints.